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South East

Lewes

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
James MacCleary
James MacClearyLiberal Democrats · Lewes
0 people on asylum support in Lewes

Rank 355 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0 per 10,000 puts Lewes in the 4th percentile. That means fewer than most areas.

Lewes: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

4
7520Mar 2015Dec 2025Peak Mar 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania deal
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20153
Jun 20153
Sept 20156
Dec 20156
Mar 20166
Jun 20166
Sept 20166
Dec 20163
Mar 20174
Jun 20173
Mar 20181
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20221
Dec 20221
Mar 20231
Dec 20236
Mar 20247
Jun 20246
Mar 20253
Jun 20254
Sept 20255
Dec 20254

Trend

-1Latest quarter change
+1Change across series
25Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
0
Homes for Ukraine
402
Afghan programme
15
Resettlement cumulative
31

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine402
Afghan programme15
Resettlement cumulative31

Population context

All pathways total417
Share of local population0.41%

Ethnic composition projection

Lewes: White British 88.9% (2021) to 77.5% (2051). 80% CI: 77, 80.7%.

Ethnic composition: Lewes

024497398% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 71% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Mixed 12% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Lewes

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
89%
2031proj
86%
2041proj
82%
2051proj
77%
2061proj
71%
9%
12%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Lewes ranges from47.1% to 70.6%by 2051. That is a 23.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.9% (2021) → 1.5% (2051). Christian 45.5% → 9.9%.

Religion: Lewes

527487092%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

8.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.28). 97.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Lewes

427507396%Census 2021UK-born 56% in 2051Foreign-born 44% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.8% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black12.8% internal, 3.8% international
asian12.9% internal, 2.6% international
white other12.7% internal, 1.8% international
mixed12.2% internal, 1.1% international
other10.7% internal, 2.1% international
white british8.3% internal, 0.3% international

Why Lewes is changing

-3.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+3.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Lewes on UK Demographics →