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South East

Maidstone

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Helen Grant
Helen GrantConservative · Maidstone and Malling
46 people on asylum support in Maidstone

Rank 232 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.4 per 10,000 puts Maidstone in the 29th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 17 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 46 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.8M a year.

What asylum costs Maidstone

£1.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£118Ksubsistence payments/year
£55KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 46 people on asylum support in Maidstone(0.05% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Maidstone: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

42
4731160Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20143
Jun 20142
Sept 20143
Dec 20141
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Dec 20161
Mar 20192
Jun 20192
Sept 20203
Dec 20203
Mar 20213
Jun 20213
Sept 20216
Dec 20217
Mar 20227
Jun 20228
Sept 20226
Dec 20226
Mar 20237
Jun 20239
Sept 202321
Dec 20234
Mar 20247
Jun 20246
Sept 202427
Dec 202434
Mar 202547
Jun 202545
Sept 202545
Dec 202542

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+39Change across series
31Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation29
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only17
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
46
Homes for Ukraine
592
Afghan programme
44
Resettlement cumulative
5

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine592
Afghan programme44
Resettlement cumulative5

Population context

All pathways total682
Share of local population0.36%

Ethnic composition projection

Maidstone: White British 82.0% (2021) to 62.3% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Maidstone

024477194% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 54% in 2061White Other 15% in 2061Asian 8% in 2061Black 7% in 2061Mixed 10% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Maidstone

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
89%
2021
82%
2031proj
77%
10%
2041proj
70%
12%
2051proj
62%
14%
2061proj
54%
15%
8%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Maidstone ranges from53.2% to 67.3%by 2051. That is a 14.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 58.6% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 2.0% (2021) → 5.5% (2051). Christian 52.2% → 13.3%.

Religion: Maidstone

020416181%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 76% in 2051Muslim 6% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

14% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.4). 92.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Maidstone

930507191%Census 2021UK-born 44% in 2051Foreign-born 57% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.1% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
black20.9% internal, 2.2% international
other16.1% internal, 2.5% international
asian13.6% internal, 4.1% international
white other14.1% internal, 2.7% international
mixed13.3% internal, 0.9% international
white british9% internal, 0.2% international

Why Maidstone is changing

-7.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.7pp
Local migration
0pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Maidstone on UK Demographics →