East of England

Maldon

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Sir John Whittingdale
Sir John WhittingdaleConservative · Maldon
1 people on asylum support in Maldon

Rank 341 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.14 per 10,000 puts Maldon in the 7th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 1 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.0M a year.

What asylum costs Maldon

£23Kestimated hotel costs/year
£3Ksubsistence payments/year
£1KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1 people on asylum support in Maldon(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Maldon: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

2
2110Mar 2020Dec 2025Peak Mar 2020Rwanda schemeAlbania deal
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20202
Jun 20202
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 20251
Sept 20251
Dec 20252

Trend

+1Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
16Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1
Homes for Ukraine
161
Afghan programme
5
Resettlement cumulative
12

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine161
Afghan programme5
Resettlement cumulative12

Population context

All pathways total167
Share of local population0.24%

Ethnic composition projection

Maldon: White British 94.0% (2021) to 89.8% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Maldon

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 87% in 2061White Other 4% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Maldon

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2031proj
93%
2041proj
92%
2051proj
90%
2061proj
87%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Maldon ranges from42.8% to 72.2%by 2051. That is a 29.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 52.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.8% (2051). Christian 52.4% → 10.2%.

Religion: Maldon

527497193%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.17). 98.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Maldon

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 82% in 2051Foreign-born 18% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.7% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
black13.1% internal, 2.5% international
mixed13.3% internal, 1% international
asian12.2% internal, 1.8% international
other9.1% internal, 3.8% international
white other9.3% internal, 1.9% international
white british8.6% internal, 0.2% international

Why Maldon is changing

-1.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+5.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).