Trend
-3 Latest quarter change
+168 Change across series
29 Official data points
Mansfield
170 on asylum support. Rank 159 nationally, 10 in East Midlands. Rate: 15.03 per 10,000 (68th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
2025-12-31 East Midlands region
Summary
Mansfield has 170 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 159 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 15.03 per 10,000 residents places it around the 68th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Mansfield
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 165
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 5
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 175
Afghan programme 38
Resettlement cumulative 49
Population context
All pathways total 383
Share of local population 0.34%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
| Site | Status | Evidence | Last public date | Entity coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belvoir Hotel | historical | named_historical | 2023-04-05 | unresolved |
Ethnic composition projection
Mansfield: WBI 87.3% (2021) → 56.5% (2051). White British minority by ~2056. 80% CI: 53.2–60.6%.
Ethnic composition — Mansfield
White British White Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.2% (2021) → 5.3% (2051). Christian 49.2% → 10.4%.
Religion — Mansfield
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
10.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.3). 92.2% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Mansfield
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Mansfield is changing
-5.9ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.7%
Mixed 68.7%
White Other 83.1%
Other 67.2%
Homeownership rate
White British 67.1%
Mixed 50.1%
White Other 32.1%
Other 39.6%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 21.7%
Mixed 30.6%
White Other 25.4%
Other 28%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
170 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
15.03 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in East Midlands by supported asylum.