East of England

Mid Suffolk

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Patrick Spencer
Patrick SpencerIndependent · Central Suffolk and North Ipswich

4 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Mid Suffolk.

26 people on asylum support in Mid Suffolk

Rank 263 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.3 per 10,000 puts Mid Suffolk in the 29th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 26 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.0M a year.

What asylum costs Mid Suffolk

£587Kestimated hotel costs/year
£66Ksubsistence payments/year
£31KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 26 people on asylum support in Mid Suffolk(0.03% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Mid Suffolk: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

22
221570Jun 2015Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20221
Dec 20221
Mar 20231
Jun 20231
Sept 20232
Mar 20254
Jun 202511
Sept 202520
Dec 202522

Trend

+2Latest quarter change
+21Change across series
19Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation26
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
26
Homes for Ukraine
343
Afghan programme
29
Resettlement cumulative
12

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine343
Afghan programme29
Resettlement cumulative12

Population context

All pathways total398
Share of local population0.35%

Ethnic composition projection

Mid Suffolk: White British 94.0% (2021) to 88.2% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Mid Suffolk

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 84% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Mid Suffolk

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2031proj
93%
2041proj
91%
2051proj
88%
2061proj
84%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Mid Suffolk ranges from51.8% to 77.3%by 2051. That is a 25.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 60.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.3% (2021) → 0.4% (2051). Christian 52.4% → 11.6%.

Religion: Mid Suffolk

728497192%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.17). 98.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Mid Suffolk

125507599%Census 2021UK-born 68% in 2051Foreign-born 32% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.1% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black13.9% internal, 7.2% international
other12.1% internal, 8% international
asian13.1% internal, 4.6% international
white other11.9% internal, 4.3% international
mixed12.2% internal, 2.9% international
white british8.9% internal, 0.3% international

Why Mid Suffolk is changing

-1.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+5.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).