Trend
-138 Latest quarter change
+445 Change across series
41 Official data points
Mid Sussex
450 on asylum support. Rank 77 nationally, 3 in South East. Rate: 27.82 per 10,000 (84th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Mid Sussex has 450 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 77 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 27.82 per 10,000 residents places it around the 84th percentile. 445 are in contingency accommodation (98.9% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Mid Sussex
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 4
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 1
Contingency accommodation 445
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 580
Afghan programme 113
Resettlement cumulative 42
Population context
All pathways total 1,143
Share of local population 0.71%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Mid Sussex: WBI 85.8% (2021) → 67.5% (2051). 80% CI: 63–68.2%.
Ethnic composition — Mid Sussex
White British White Other Asian Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.3% (2021) → 2.0% (2051). Christian 51.2% → 10.7%.
Religion — Mid Sussex
Christian No religion
Nativity
11.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.34). 96% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Mid Sussex
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Mid Sussex is changing
-4.5ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 63.4%
Mixed 73.1%
White Other 75.6%
Other 71.1%
Homeownership rate
White British 75.4%
Mixed 64.6%
White Other 56.6%
Other 54.6%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 37.3%
Mixed 44%
White Other 53.6%
Other 51%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
450 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
27.82 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
445 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in South East by supported asylum.