asylumstatsFollow the money
Wales

Monmouthshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Catherine Fookes
Catherine FookesLabour · Monmouthshire
1 people on asylum support in Monmouthshire

Rank 343 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.1 per 10,000 puts Monmouthshire in the 6th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 1 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.0M a year.

What asylum costs Monmouthshire

£23Kestimated hotel costs/year
£3Ksubsistence payments/year
£1KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1 people on asylum support in Monmouthshire(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Monmouthshire: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2016. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
1100Jun 2016Dec 2016Peak Jun 2016
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20161

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
3Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1
Homes for Ukraine
376
Afghan programme
18
Resettlement cumulative
37

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine376
Afghan programme18
Resettlement cumulative37

Population context

All pathways total395
Share of local population0.41%

Ethnic composition projection

Monmouthshire: White British 94.2% (2021) to 77.8% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Monmouthshire

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 78% in 2051White Other 7% in 2051Asian 7% in 2051Mixed 3% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Monmouthshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2026proj
92%
2031proj
90%
2036proj
87%
2041proj
84%
2046proj
81%
2051proj
78%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 1.3% (2051). Christian 51.9% → 12.7%.

Religion: Monmouthshire

828496989%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.17). 98.4% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Monmouthshire

1255075100%Census 2021UK-born 79% in 2051Foreign-born 21% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Monmouthshire is changing

-1.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+5.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Monmouthshire on UK Demographics →