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Wales

Neath Port Talbot

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Justin Madders
Justin MaddersLabour · Ellesmere Port and Bromborough

11 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Neath Port Talbot.

64 people on asylum support in Neath Port Talbot

Rank 217 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 4.51 per 10,000 puts Neath Port Talbot in the 41st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 64 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.5M a year.

What asylum costs Neath Port Talbot

£1.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£164Ksubsistence payments/year
£77KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 64 people on asylum support in Neath Port Talbot(0.07% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Neath Port Talbot: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

66
6644220Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20152
Jun 20152
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20161
Mar 20171
Dec 20172
Mar 20182
Sept 20201
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 20239
Sept 202312
Dec 202319
Mar 202430
Jun 202439
Sept 202438
Dec 202442
Mar 202546
Jun 202546
Sept 202566
Dec 202566

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+65Change across series
37Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation62
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
64
Homes for Ukraine
164
Afghan programme
17
Resettlement cumulative
52

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine164
Afghan programme17
Resettlement cumulative52

Population context

All pathways total245
Share of local population0.17%

Ethnic composition projection

Neath Port Talbot: White British 95.0% (2021) to 80.0% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Neath Port Talbot

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 80% in 2051White Other 5% in 2051Asian 7% in 2051Mixed 3% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Neath Port Talbot

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
97%
2021
95%
2026proj
93%
2031proj
91%
2036proj
88%
2041proj
86%
2046proj
83%
2051proj
80%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 2.3% (2051). Christian 44.9% → 8.9%.

Religion: Neath Port Talbot

426476991%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 86% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

3.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.15). 98.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Neath Port Talbot

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 77% in 2051Foreign-born 23% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Neath Port Talbot is changing

-1.9pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+5.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Neath Port Talbot on UK Demographics →