asylumstatsFollow the money
East Midlands

Newark and Sherwood

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Robert Jenrick
Robert JenrickReform UK · Newark

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Newark and Sherwood.

110 people on asylum support in Newark and Sherwood

Rank 175 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 8.55 per 10,000 puts Newark and Sherwood in the 59th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. Accommodation and support for 110 people at £107 per person per day is about £4.3M a year.

What asylum costs Newark and Sherwood

£2.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£281Ksubsistence payments/year
£132KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 110 people on asylum support in Newark and Sherwood(0.12% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Newark and Sherwood: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

73
7349240Sept 2023Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Bibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20232
Jun 202412
Sept 202421
Dec 202426
Mar 202542
Jun 202550
Sept 202556
Dec 202573

Trend

+17Latest quarter change
+71Change across series
8Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation110
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
110
Homes for Ukraine
338
Afghan programme
29
Resettlement cumulative
72

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine338
Afghan programme29
Resettlement cumulative72

Population context

All pathways total477
Share of local population0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Newark and Sherwood: White British 91.1% (2021) to 80.5% (2051). 80% CI: 80.4, 83.9%.

Ethnic composition: Newark and Sherwood

025507499% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 75% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Newark and Sherwood

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
91%
2031proj
89%
2041proj
85%
9%
2051proj
81%
11%
2061proj
75%
13%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Newark and Sherwood ranges from54.0% to 75.5%by 2051. That is a 21.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 61.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.1% (2051). Christian 54.5% → 12.2%.

Religion: Newark and Sherwood

728497091%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 86% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.23). 95.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Newark and Sherwood

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 62% in 2051Foreign-born 39% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.3% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black15.8% internal, 2.1% international
white other14.7% internal, 2.4% international
asian13.8% internal, 2.9% international
mixed15.6% internal, 0.9% international
other13.7% internal, 2.6% international
white british8.7% internal, 0.2% international

Why Newark and Sherwood is changing

-3.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+4.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Newark and Sherwood on UK Demographics →