asylumstatsFollow the money
South West

North Devon

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Ian Roome
Ian RoomeLiberal Democrats · North Devon

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping North Devon.

6 people on asylum support in North Devon

Rank 316 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.59 per 10,000 puts North Devon in the 13th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 6 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs North Devon

£135Kestimated hotel costs/year
£15Ksubsistence payments/year
£7KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 6 people on asylum support in North Devon(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

North Devon: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

2
14295470Sept 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Albania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20142
Dec 2022138
Mar 2023142
Sept 20233
Jun 20241
Dec 20245
Mar 20256
Jun 20254
Sept 20255
Dec 20252

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
10Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation6
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
6
Homes for Ukraine
252
Afghan programme
86
Resettlement cumulative
39

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine252
Afghan programme86
Resettlement cumulative39

Population context

All pathways total344
Share of local population0.34%

Ethnic composition projection

North Devon: White British 94.3% (2021) to 88.7% (2051). 80% CI: 88.6, 90.7%.

Ethnic composition: North Devon

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 85% in 2061White Other 4% in 2061Mixed 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: North Devon

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2031proj
93%
2041proj
91%
2051proj
89%
2061proj
85%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in North Devon ranges from51.0% to 76.9%by 2051. That is a 26pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 59.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.7% (2051). Christian 50.0% → 10.4%.

Religion: North Devon

527497193%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.17). 98.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: North Devon

1255075100%Census 2021UK-born 68% in 2051Foreign-born 32% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.9% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
black21.8% internal, 8.3% international
other19.2% internal, 9.5% international
asian13.4% internal, 9.5% international
white other14.4% internal, 4% international
mixed13.5% internal, 1.3% international
white british9.6% internal, 0.3% international

Why North Devon is changing

-1.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View North Devon on UK Demographics →