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East Midlands

North East Derbyshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Louise Sandher-Jones
Louise Sandher-JonesLabour · North East Derbyshire
60 people on asylum support in North East Derbyshire

Rank 222 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 5.56 per 10,000 puts North East Derbyshire in the 47th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. Accommodation and support for 60 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.3M a year.

What asylum costs North East Derbyshire

£1.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£153Ksubsistence payments/year
£72KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 60 people on asylum support in North East Derbyshire(0.06% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

North East Derbyshire: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

54
5738190Sept 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Rwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20141
Sept 202414
Dec 202427
Mar 202538
Jun 202546
Sept 202557
Dec 202554

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+53Change across series
7Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation60
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
60
Homes for Ukraine
207
Afghan programme
15
Resettlement cumulative
7

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine207
Afghan programme15
Resettlement cumulative7

Population context

All pathways total282
Share of local population0.26%

Ethnic composition projection

North East Derbyshire: White British 95.8% (2021) to 91.2% (2051). 80% CI: 91.1, 92.8%.

Ethnic composition: North East Derbyshire

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 88% in 2061Mixed 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: North East Derbyshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
97%
2021
96%
2031proj
95%
2041proj
93%
2051proj
91%
2061proj
88%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in North East Derbyshire ranges from53.3% to 79.5%by 2051. That is a 26.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 62.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.3% (2021) → 0.2% (2051). Christian 53.9% → 9.3%.

Religion: North East Derbyshire

427497295%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 90% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

3.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.13). 98.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: North East Derbyshire

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 80% in 2051Foreign-born 20% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.4% moved within UK, 0.2% arrived from abroad
black16.7% internal, 2.5% international
asian14% internal, 4.4% international
white other13.3% internal, 2.2% international
other12.3% internal, 1.1% international
mixed10.9% internal, 0.3% international
white british7.1% internal, 0.1% international

Why North East Derbyshire is changing

-1.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6.6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View North East Derbyshire on UK Demographics →