East of England

North Norfolk

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Steff Aquarone
Steff AquaroneLiberal Democrats · North Norfolk

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping North Norfolk.

8 people on asylum support in North Norfolk

Rank 308 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.77 per 10,000 puts North Norfolk in the 16th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 8 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.3M a year.

What asylum costs North Norfolk

£181Kestimated hotel costs/year
£20Ksubsistence payments/year
£10KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 8 people on asylum support in North Norfolk(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

North Norfolk: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Jun 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
5320Mar 2014Jun 2025Peak Sept 2022Rwanda schemeAlbania deal
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20192
Jun 20192
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20225
Dec 20225
Mar 20235
Mar 20253
Jun 20251

Trend

-2Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
13Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation8
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
8
Homes for Ukraine
287
Afghan programme
8
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine287
Afghan programme8
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total303
Share of local population0.29%

Ethnic composition projection

North Norfolk: White British 95.6% (2021) to 92.3% (2051).

Ethnic composition: North Norfolk

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 90% in 2061White Other 4% in 2061Mixed 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: North Norfolk

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
97%
2021
96%
2031proj
95%
2041proj
94%
2051proj
92%
2061proj
90%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in North Norfolk ranges from49.2% to 77.0%by 2051. That is a 27.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 58.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.2% (2021) → 0.1% (2051). Christian 56.0% → 14.3%.

Religion: North Norfolk

929496989%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 84% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.13). 98.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: North Norfolk

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 82% in 2051Foreign-born 18% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.8% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
other12.3% internal, 10.2% international
black15.8% internal, 4.9% international
asian13.3% internal, 3.4% international
white other12.1% internal, 2.5% international
mixed11.8% internal, 0.8% international
white british8.6% internal, 0.2% international

Why North Norfolk is changing

-1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).