Trend
-9 Latest quarter change
+357 Change across series
48 Official data points
North Tyneside
444 on asylum support. Rank 80 nationally, 9 in North East. Rate: 20.65 per 10,000 (77th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
2025-12-31 North East region
Summary
North Tyneside has 444 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 80 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 20.65 per 10,000 residents places it around the 77th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in North Tyneside
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 442
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 2
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 349
Afghan programme 69
Resettlement cumulative 59
Population context
All pathways total 862
Share of local population 0.4%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
North Tyneside: WBI 92.5% (2021) → 83.0% (2051). 80% CI: 74.8–79.2%.
Ethnic composition — North Tyneside
White British White Other Asian Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.3% (2021) → 2.2% (2051). Christian 48.9% → 7.8%.
Religion — North Tyneside
Christian No religion
Nativity
5.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97.5% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — North Tyneside
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why North Tyneside is changing
-2.6ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 59.5%
Mixed 72%
White Other 76.1%
Other 58.8%
Homeownership rate
White British 64.7%
Mixed 50.9%
White Other 51.8%
Other 38.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 32.2%
Mixed 41.9%
White Other 54.4%
Other 42.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 31,066 pupils. 86.8% White British. Schools are 5.7pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 86.8%
Asian 4.3%
Mixed 3.4%
White Other 2.7%
Black 1.9%
Other 0.9%
What this means
Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
13.2% Minority pupils now
21.5% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
444 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
20.65 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North East by supported asylum.