West Midlands

Nuneaton and Bedworth

301 on asylum support. Rank 114 nationally, 11 in West Midlands. Rate: 21.26 per 10,000 (79th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.

Summary

Nuneaton and Bedworth has 301 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 114 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 21.26 per 10,000 residents places it around the 79th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.

Supported asylum in Nuneaton and Bedworth

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

301
301 201 100 0 Jun 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Dec 2025

Trend

+12 Latest quarter change
+300 Change across series
34 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 294
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 7
Contingency accommodation 0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
301
Homes for Ukraine
175
Afghan programme
57
Resettlement cumulative
23

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 175
Afghan programme 57
Resettlement cumulative 23

Population context

All pathways total 533
Share of local population 0.38%

Hotel evidence

No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.

No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.

Ethnic composition projection

Nuneaton and Bedworth: WBI 81.8% (2021) → 44.7% (2051). White British minority by ~2048. 80% CI: 45.9–52.4%.

Ethnic composition — Nuneaton and Bedworth

0 23 47 70 94 % of population Census 2021 White British 45% White Other 35% Asian 10% Mixed 5% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 3.1% (2021) → 3.3% (2051). Christian 51.2% → 11.3%.

Religion — Nuneaton and Bedworth

0 21 41 62 82 % Census 2021 Christian 11% No religion 77% Muslim 3% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim

Nativity

11.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.4). 92.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born — Nuneaton and Bedworth

7 28 50 72 94 % Census 2021 UK-born 49% Foreign-born 51% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Nuneaton and Bedworth is changing

-7.1pp
National trend
-6.6pp
Age structure
-0.7pp
Local migration
+0.2pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Economy & housing by ethnicity

Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.

Employment rate

White British 60.1%
Mixed 68.1%
White Other 80.3%
Other 65.6%

Homeownership rate

White British 70.1%
Mixed 49.9%
White Other 50.8%
Other 60.5%

Degree+ qualification rate

White British 23.7%
Mixed 29.4%
White Other 36%
Other 30.1%
Source

Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.

Service demand impact

Projected impact of demographic change on local services.

Language services 7.4%

non-English speakers

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Housing pressure +39.5pp

foreign-born growth to 2051

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

EAL demand +0pp

EAL growth

EAL demand growth is moderate.

National benchmarks

Supported asylum count

National distribution.

301
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Per 10,000 residents.

21.26
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and contingency placements.

0
low median top 10% high

Regional peers

Top 6 in West Midlands by supported asylum.

Birmingham
2,637
Coventry
1,719
Sandwell
1,595
Wolverhampton
1,318
Stoke-on-Trent
1,279
Nuneaton and Bedworth
This area | 301