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East of England

Peterborough

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Andrew Pakes
Andrew PakesLabour (Co-op) · Peterborough
448 people on asylum support in Peterborough

Rank 67 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 19.93 per 10,000 puts Peterborough in the 82nd percentile. That means this area carries more than most. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2031. 18 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 99 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 448 people at £107 per person per day is about £17.5M a year.

What asylum costs Peterborough

£10.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£1.1Msubsistence payments/year
£538KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 448 people on asylum support in Peterborough(0.48% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Peterborough: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

508
5663771890Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 2014121
Jun 2014131
Sept 2014133
Dec 2014131
Mar 2015132
Jun 2015137
Sept 2015140
Dec 2015153
Mar 2016152
Jun 2016151
Sept 2016141
Dec 2016165
Mar 2017173
Jun 2017168
Sept 2017169
Dec 2017171
Mar 2018213
Jun 2018226
Sept 2018235
Dec 2018236
Mar 2019221
Jun 2019222
Sept 2019203
Dec 2019197
Mar 2020188
Jun 2020200
Sept 2020201
Dec 2020193
Mar 2021208
Jun 2021213
Sept 2021218
Dec 2021264
Mar 2022312
Jun 2022296
Sept 2022288
Dec 2022408
Mar 2023425
Jun 2023503
Sept 2023505
Dec 2023454
Mar 2024425
Jun 2024376
Sept 2024423
Dec 2024534
Mar 2025479
Jun 2025555
Sept 2025566
Dec 2025508

Trend

-58Latest quarter change
+387Change across series
48Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation331
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only18
Contingency accommodation99

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
448
Homes for Ukraine
660
Afghan programme
212
Resettlement cumulative
94

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine660
Afghan programme212
Resettlement cumulative94

Population context

All pathways total1,320
Share of local population0.59%

Ethnic composition projection

Peterborough: White British 59.5% (2021) to 30.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2031. 80% CI: 29.1, 33.6%.

Ethnic composition: Peterborough

019385776% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 22% in 2061White Other 22% in 2061Asian 19% in 2061Black 10% in 2061Mixed 12% in 2061Other 14% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Peterborough

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
71%
12%
12%
2021
60%
16%
14%
2031proj
50%
19%
17%
2041proj
40%
22%
18%
2051proj
30%
23%
19%
9%
9%
10%
2061proj
22%
22%
19%
10%
12%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Peterborough ranges from36.6% to 43.7%by 2051. That is a 7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 39.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 12.9% (2021) → 19.8% (2051). Christian 49.1% → 18.8%.

Religion: Peterborough

015314661%Census 2021Christian 19% in 2051No religion 56% in 2051Muslim 20% in 2051Hindu 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

28.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.68). 80% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Peterborough

2337506377%Census 2021UK-born 35% in 2051Foreign-born 65% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.4% moved within UK, 1.1% arrived from abroad
black13.9% internal, 3.6% international
white other13% internal, 2.2% international
mixed12.5% internal, 1.7% international
other10.4% internal, 3.5% international
asian7.2% internal, 1.9% international
white british8.4% internal, 0.3% international

Why Peterborough is changing

-11.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
+0.7pp
Local migration
-5.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Peterborough on UK Demographics →