Trend
-19 Latest quarter change
+623 Change across series
48 Official data points
Portsmouth
742 on asylum support. Rank 36 nationally, 1 in South East. Rate: 34.62 per 10,000 (91st percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Portsmouth has 742 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 36 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 34.62 per 10,000 residents places it around the 91st percentile. 106 are in contingency accommodation (14.3% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Portsmouth
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 620
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 16
Contingency accommodation 106
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 227
Afghan programme 149
Resettlement cumulative 9
Population context
All pathways total 1,118
Share of local population 0.52%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Portsmouth: WBI 77.7% (2021) → 46.3% (2051). White British minority by ~2048. 80% CI: 39.5–47.5%.
Ethnic composition — Portsmouth
White British White Other Asian Black Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 5.2% (2021) → 9.1% (2051). Christian 42.1% → 11.5%.
Religion — Portsmouth
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
16.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.47). 90.8% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Portsmouth
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Portsmouth is changing
-6.3ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 60.6%
Mixed 63.7%
White Other 76%
Other 51%
Homeownership rate
White British 55.8%
Mixed 37.8%
White Other 29.5%
Other 23.9%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 28.5%
Mixed 34.7%
White Other 43.7%
Other 36.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 27,459 pupils. 66.1% White British. Schools are 11.6pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 66.1%
Asian 9.6%
Black 8.4%
White Other 7.7%
Mixed 5.8%
Other 2.4%
What this means
Schools are 12pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
33.9% Minority pupils now
47.1% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
742 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
34.62 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
106 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in South East by supported asylum.