Wales

Powys

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
5 people on asylum support in Powys

Rank 323 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.37 per 10,000 puts Powys in the 10th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 5 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs Powys

£113Kestimated hotel costs/year
£13Ksubsistence payments/year
£6KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 5 people on asylum support in Powys(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Powys: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

10
10730Jun 2015Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Bibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20151
Sept 20155
Dec 20151
Sept 20235
Dec 20244
Mar 20255
Jun 20255
Sept 202510
Dec 202510

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+9Change across series
9Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation4
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
5
Homes for Ukraine
406
Afghan programme
30
Resettlement cumulative
148

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine406
Afghan programme30
Resettlement cumulative148

Population context

All pathways total441
Share of local population0.33%

Ethnic composition projection

Powys: White British 94.9% (2021) to 78.2% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Powys

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 78% in 2051White Other 7% in 2051Asian 7% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsian

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Powys

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
95%
2026proj
93%
2031proj
90%
2036proj
88%
2041proj
85%
2046proj
81%
2051proj
78%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 0.4% (2021) → 1.3% (2051). Christian 52.7% → 14.1%.

Religion: Powys

929496988%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 83% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.15). 98.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Powys

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 81% in 2051Foreign-born 19% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Powys is changing

-1.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).