South East

Reading

732 on asylum support. Rank 37 nationally, 2 in South East. Rate: 40.02 per 10,000 (94th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.

2025-12-31 South East region 55.5% contingency

Summary

Reading has 732 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 37 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 40.02 per 10,000 residents places it around the 94th percentile. 406 are in contingency accommodation (55.5% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.

Supported asylum in Reading

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

732
782 521 261 0 Mar 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Sept 2023

Trend

+47 Latest quarter change
+723 Change across series
48 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 321
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 5
Contingency accommodation 406

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
732
Homes for Ukraine
441
Afghan programme
116
Resettlement cumulative
53

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 441
Afghan programme 116
Resettlement cumulative 53

Population context

All pathways total 1,289
Share of local population 0.7%

Hotel evidence

No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.

No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.

Ethnic composition projection

Reading: WBI 53.5% (2021) → 15.9% (2051). White British minority by ~2024. 80% CI: 17.3–22.3%.

Ethnic composition — Reading

0 18 35 53 70 % of population Census 2021 White British 16% White Other 20% Asian 26% Black 3% Mixed 6% Other 29% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 9.6% (2021) → 13.9% (2051). Christian 42.5% → 15.5%.

Religion — Reading

0 15 29 44 59 % Census 2021 Christian 16% No religion 54% Muslim 14% Hindu 10% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu

Nativity

33.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.74). 81.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born — Reading

25 38 50 63 75 % Census 2021 UK-born 30% Foreign-born 70% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

high immigration gateway: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Why Reading is changing

-11.9pp
National trend
-6.6pp
Age structure
+1.2pp
Local migration
-6.5pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Economy & housing by ethnicity

Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.

Employment rate

White British 64.5%
Mixed 68.9%
White Other 81.2%
Other 62.4%

Homeownership rate

White British 56.3%
Mixed 30.6%
White Other 33.5%
Other 31.2%

Degree+ qualification rate

White British 38.9%
Mixed 34.2%
White Other 49.4%
Other 44.9%
Source

Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.

School ethnicity

DfE School Census 2024/25: 23,990 pupils. 31.4% White British. Schools are 22.1pp more diverse than the general population.

Pupil ethnicity

Asian 32%
White British 31.4%
Mixed 12.4%
White Other 11.1%
Black 10.4%
Other 2.7%

What this means

Schools are 22pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.

68.6% Minority pupils now
76.2% Projected 2041
Source

DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.

Service demand impact

Projected impact of demographic change on local services.

Language services 18.9%

non-English speakers

NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.

Housing pressure +36.5pp

foreign-born growth to 2051

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

EAL demand +22.1pp

EAL growth

Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.

National benchmarks

Supported asylum count

National distribution.

732
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Per 10,000 residents.

40.02
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and contingency placements.

406
low median top 10% high

Regional peers

Top 5 in South East by supported asylum.

Portsmouth
742
Reading
This area | 732
Mid Sussex
450
Crawley
403
Milton Keynes
387