Trend
+6 Latest quarter change
+257 Change across series
48 Official data points
Redcar and Cleveland
260 on asylum support. Rank 120 nationally, 11 in North East. Rate: 18.67 per 10,000 (74th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
2025-12-31 North East region
Summary
Redcar and Cleveland has 260 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 120 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 18.67 per 10,000 residents places it around the 74th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Redcar and Cleveland
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 259
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 1
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 163
Afghan programme 85
Resettlement cumulative 383
Population context
All pathways total 508
Share of local population 0.36%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Redcar and Cleveland: WBI 96.5% (2021) → 94.0% (2051). 80% CI: 86.2–88.9%.
Ethnic composition — Redcar and Cleveland
White British 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 1.2% (2051). Christian 56.0% → 8.5%.
Religion — Redcar and Cleveland
Christian No religion
Nativity
2.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.11). 98.9% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Redcar and Cleveland
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Redcar and Cleveland is changing
-1.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 53%
Mixed 61%
White Other 61.6%
Other 38.1%
Homeownership rate
White British 65.6%
Mixed 49.6%
White Other 53.1%
Other 20.7%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 24.7%
Mixed 32.5%
White Other 42.6%
Other 26.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 20,621 pupils. 92.3% White British.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 92.3%
Mixed 2.7%
White Other 1.5%
Asian 1.3%
Black 1.3%
Other 0.9%
What this means
School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.
7.7% Minority pupils now
14.4% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
260 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
18.67 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North East by supported asylum.