South East

Reigate and Banstead

339 on asylum support. Rank 107 nationally, 9 in South East. Rate: 21.3 per 10,000 (79th percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.

2025-12-31 South East region 55.2% contingency

Summary

Reigate and Banstead has 339 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 107 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 21.3 per 10,000 residents places it around the 79th percentile. 187 are in contingency accommodation (55.2% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.

Supported asylum in Reigate and Banstead

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

339
525 350 175 0 Jun 2014 Dec 2025 Peak Sept 2023

Trend

-23 Latest quarter change
+338 Change across series
36 Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation 149
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 187

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
339
Homes for Ukraine
431
Afghan programme
38
Resettlement cumulative
34

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine 431
Afghan programme 38
Resettlement cumulative 34

Population context

All pathways total 808
Share of local population 0.51%

Hotel evidence

No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.

No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.

Ethnic composition projection

Reigate and Banstead: WBI 76.9% (2021) → 44.1% (2051). White British minority by ~2046. 80% CI: 42.2–47.7%.

Ethnic composition — Reigate and Banstead

0 22 45 67 90 % of population Census 2021 White British 44% White Other 14% Asian 19% Black 2% Mixed 13% Other 8% 20112021203120412051
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 3.3% (2021) → 7.6% (2051). Christian 52.2% → 14.5%.

Religion — Reigate and Banstead

0 18 37 55 74 % Census 2021 Christian 15% No religion 69% Muslim 8% Hindu 8% 2021203120412051
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu

Nativity

16.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.49). 93.8% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born — Reigate and Banstead

11 31 50 69 89 % Census 2021 UK-born 53% Foreign-born 48% 2021203120412051
UK-born Foreign-born

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Reigate and Banstead is changing

-8.1pp
National trend
-6.6pp
Age structure
-0.4pp
Local migration
-1.1pp

White British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Economy & housing by ethnicity

Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.

Employment rate

White British 64.2%
Mixed 71.2%
White Other 75.3%
Other 69.6%

Homeownership rate

White British 74.4%
Mixed 60.8%
White Other 59.7%
Other 55.3%

Degree+ qualification rate

White British 38.9%
Mixed 43%
White Other 51.5%
Other 49.7%
Source

Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.

Service demand impact

Projected impact of demographic change on local services.

Language services 6.2%

non-English speakers

Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.

Housing pressure +31.2pp

foreign-born growth to 2051

High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.

EAL demand +0pp

EAL growth

EAL demand growth is moderate.

National benchmarks

Supported asylum count

National distribution.

339
low median top 10% high
Supported asylum rate

Per 10,000 residents.

21.3
low median top 10% high
Contingency accommodation

Hotel and contingency placements.

187
low median top 10% high

Regional peers

Top 6 in South East by supported asylum.

Portsmouth
742
Reading
732
Mid Sussex
450
Crawley
403
Milton Keynes
387
Reigate and Banstead
This area | 339