asylumstatsFollow the money
East of England

Rochford

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mr Bayo Alaba
Mr Bayo AlabaLabour · Southend East and Rochford
141 people on asylum support in Rochford

Rank 160 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 15.54 per 10,000 puts Rochford in the 72nd percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 115 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 141 people at £107 per person per day is about £5.5M a year.

What asylum costs Rochford

£3.2Mestimated hotel costs/year
£361Ksubsistence payments/year
£169KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 141 people on asylum support in Rochford(0.15% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Rochford: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

118
183122610Jun 2015Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20152
Sept 20152
Dec 20152
Mar 20162
Jun 20162
Sept 20162
Dec 20162
Mar 20172
Jun 20172
Sept 20172
Dec 20172
Mar 20182
Jun 20182
Sept 20182
Dec 20182
Mar 20192
Jun 20192
Sept 20192
Dec 20192
Jun 20204
Sept 20204
Dec 20204
Mar 20214
Jun 20214
Sept 20214
Dec 20215
Mar 20226
Jun 20226
Sept 202221
Dec 2022156
Mar 2023134
Jun 2023171
Sept 2023183
Dec 2023140
Mar 2024111
Jun 2024167
Sept 2024135
Dec 2024146
Mar 2025132
Jun 2025144
Sept 2025160
Dec 2025118

Trend

-42Latest quarter change
+116Change across series
42Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation25
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation115

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
141
Homes for Ukraine
114
Afghan programme
6
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine114
Afghan programme6
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total261
Share of local population0.29%

Ethnic composition projection

Rochford: White British 93.8% (2021) to 86.6% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Rochford

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 81% in 2061White Other 3% in 2061Mixed 11% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Rochford

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2031proj
92%
2041proj
90%
2051proj
87%
2061proj
81%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Rochford ranges from49.0% to 75.8%by 2051. That is a 26.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 57.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.6% (2051). Christian 50.4% → 9.5%.

Religion: Rochford

427497193%Census 2021Christian 9% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.18). 98.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Rochford

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 75% in 2051Foreign-born 25% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 7.4% moved within UK, 0.2% arrived from abroad
other17.3% internal, 2.7% international
asian14.4% internal, 0.8% international
black12.2% internal, 0.6% international
mixed11.7% internal, 0.5% international
white other9.8% internal, 1% international
white british7.1% internal, 0.2% international

Why Rochford is changing

-1.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Rochford on UK Demographics →