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South East

Rother

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Jake Richards
Jake RichardsLabour · Rother Valley

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Rother.

6 people on asylum support in Rother

Rank 317 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.62 per 10,000 puts Rother in the 14th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 6 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs Rother

£135Kestimated hotel costs/year
£15Ksubsistence payments/year
£7KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 6 people on asylum support in Rother(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Rother: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

1
2110Sept 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2020Bibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Sept 20151
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20231
Dec 20251

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+0Change across series
11Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation4
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
6
Homes for Ukraine
400
Afghan programme
50
Resettlement cumulative
71

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine400
Afghan programme50
Resettlement cumulative71

Population context

All pathways total456
Share of local population0.47%

Ethnic composition projection

Rother: White British 91.7% (2021) to 85.2% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Rother

025507499% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 81% in 2061White Other 7% in 2061Mixed 7% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Rother

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
88%
2051proj
85%
2061proj
81%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Rother ranges from45.3% to 71.6%by 2051. That is a 26.3pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 53.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 0.4% (2051). Christian 54.5% → 12.5%.

Religion: Rother

828497091%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 86% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.22). 98.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Rother

326507498%Census 2021UK-born 61% in 2051Foreign-born 40% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black17.3% internal, 4.1% international
other14% internal, 1.1% international
white other11.4% internal, 2.7% international
mixed12.9% internal, 1% international
asian9.3% internal, 4.2% international
white british8.7% internal, 0.3% international

Why Rother is changing

-2.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+5.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Rother on UK Demographics →