East Midlands

Rushcliffe

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
James Naish
James NaishLabour · Rushcliffe
60 people on asylum support in Rushcliffe

Rank 223 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 4.69 per 10,000 puts Rushcliffe in the 42nd percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 60 people at £107 per person per day is about £2.3M a year.

What asylum costs Rushcliffe

£1.4Mestimated hotel costs/year
£153Ksubsistence payments/year
£72KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 60 people on asylum support in Rushcliffe(0.06% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Rushcliffe: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

39
11476380Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2022Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20143
Jun 20144
Sept 20145
Dec 20141
Sept 20171
Mar 20181
Jun 20181
Sept 20211
Dec 202160
Mar 202215
Jun 2022114
Sept 202212
Dec 202277
Mar 202374
Jun 202361
Sept 202381
Dec 202362
Dec 20246
Mar 202520
Jun 202526
Sept 202529
Dec 202539

Trend

+10Latest quarter change
+36Change across series
22Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation58
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
60
Homes for Ukraine
349
Afghan programme
14
Resettlement cumulative
41

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine349
Afghan programme14
Resettlement cumulative41

Population context

All pathways total423
Share of local population0.33%

Ethnic composition projection

Rushcliffe: White British 86.1% (2021) to 71.4% (2051). 80% CI: 70.9, 75.1%.

Ethnic composition: Rushcliffe

024487195% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 64% in 2061White Other 5% in 2061Asian 11% in 2061Mixed 14% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Rushcliffe

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
86%
2031proj
82%
2041proj
78%
8%
2051proj
71%
10%
9%
2061proj
64%
11%
14%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Rushcliffe ranges from50.0% to 69.8%by 2051. That is a 19.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 57.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 2.4% (2021) → 3.9% (2051). Christian 46.7% → 10.0%.

Religion: Rushcliffe

022436587%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 82% in 2051Muslim 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

8.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.33). 97% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Rushcliffe

327507397%Census 2021UK-born 58% in 2051Foreign-born 42% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.5% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
black19.7% internal, 3.1% international
white other13.8% internal, 3.3% international
mixed13.1% internal, 1% international
other10% internal, 2.5% international
asian9.5% internal, 2.6% international
white british9% internal, 0.3% international

Why Rushcliffe is changing

-4.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).