asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Rushmoor

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
76 people on asylum support in Rushmoor

Rank 199 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 7.16 per 10,000 puts Rushmoor in the 54th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. White British projected to be a minority by approximately 2045. 11 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 47 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 76 people at £107 per person per day is about £3.0M a year.

What asylum costs Rushmoor

£1.7Mestimated hotel costs/year
£194Ksubsistence payments/year
£91KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 76 people on asylum support in Rushmoor(0.08% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Rushmoor: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

155
217145720Sept 2015Dec 2025Peak Dec 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20152
Dec 20152
Mar 20162
Jun 20163
Sept 20163
Dec 20163
Mar 20172
Jun 20172
Sept 20172
Dec 20176
Mar 20186
Jun 20183
Sept 20184
Dec 20182
Mar 20194
Jun 20192
Sept 20192
Dec 20192
Mar 20202
Jun 20206
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20214
Sept 20215
Dec 202167
Mar 202229
Jun 202214
Sept 202213
Dec 20225
Mar 202312
Jun 20234
Sept 202312
Dec 2023217
Mar 2024192
Jun 2024132
Sept 2024152
Dec 2024195
Mar 2025150
Jun 2025175
Sept 2025184
Dec 2025155

Trend

-29Latest quarter change
+153Change across series
42Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation18
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only11
Contingency accommodation47

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
76
Homes for Ukraine
189
Afghan programme
32
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine189
Afghan programme32
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total297
Share of local population0.28%

Ethnic composition projection

Rushmoor: White British 71.1% (2021) to 44.6% (2051). White British minority by ~2045. 80% CI: 44.3, 49.5%.

Ethnic composition: Rushmoor

021436486% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 35% in 2061White Other 11% in 2061Asian 25% in 2061Black 6% in 2061Mixed 11% in 2061Other 12% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Rushmoor

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
81%
10%
2021
71%
15%
2031proj
63%
18%
2041proj
54%
9%
21%
2051proj
45%
10%
23%
9%
2061proj
35%
11%
25%
11%
12%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Rushmoor ranges from39.6% to 55.1%by 2051. That is a 15.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 45.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 2.6% (2021) → 5.9% (2051). Christian 44.7% → 8.1%.

Religion: Rushmoor

015304560%Census 2021Christian 8% in 2051No religion 55% in 2051Muslim 6% in 2051Hindu 13% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

23.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.55). 85% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Rushmoor

1934506681%Census 2021UK-born 29% in 2051Foreign-born 72% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.9% moved within UK, 0.9% arrived from abroad
black15.5% internal, 1.8% international
white other14.5% internal, 2.7% international
asian12.4% internal, 2.9% international
other11.3% internal, 2.6% international
mixed12.3% internal, 1% international
white british8.6% internal, 0.3% international

Why Rushmoor is changing

-9.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
0pp
Local migration
-3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Rushmoor on UK Demographics →