Trend
+3Latest quarter change
+3Change across series
8Official data points
Rutland
Alicia Kearns
8 people on asylum support in Rutland
Rank 309 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.92 per 10,000 puts Rutland in the 26th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 8 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.3M a year.
What asylum costs Rutland
£181Kestimated hotel costs/year
£20Ksubsistence payments/year
£10KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 8 people on asylum support in Rutland(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.
Rutland: asylum numbers still rising
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Exact values
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Sept 2019 | 1 |
| Dec 2019 | 1 |
| Mar 2020 | 1 |
| Jun 2020 | 1 |
| Sept 2020 | 1 |
| Mar 2025 | 1 |
| Jun 2025 | 1 |
| Dec 2025 | 4 |
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation8
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine167
Afghan programme14
Resettlement cumulative14
Population context
All pathways total189
Share of local population0.45%
Ethnic composition projection
Rutland: White British 91.0% (2021) to 64.2% (2051).
Ethnic composition: Rutland
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: Rutland
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in Rutland ranges from31.4% to 60.7%by 2051. That is a 29.3pp spread.
Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 39.6% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.6% (2051). Christian 58.5% → 16.1%.
Religion: Rutland
ChristianNo religion
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
8.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.24). 98.1% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: Rutland
UK-bornForeign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 10.3% moved within UK, 0.7% arrived from abroad
black22.4% internal, 2.9% international
asian17.9% internal, 3.9% international
white other13.9% internal, 3.4% international
mixed14.5% internal, 0.8% international
other14.3% internal, 0% international
white british9.8% internal, 0.5% international
Why Rutland is changing
-3.3ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Rutland on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British56.3%
Mixed58.2%
White Other63.5%
Other63.8%
Homeownership rate
White British73.1%
Mixed61.2%
White Other58.6%
Other39.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British37.4%
Mixed32.7%
White Other52.6%
Other43.2%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 5,724 pupils. 88.2% White British.
Pupil ethnicity
White British88.2%
Mixed4.1%
White Other3.8%
Asian1.9%
Black1.4%
Other0.6%
What this means
School and population ethnic composition are closely aligned.
11.8%Minority pupils now
18.6%Projected 2041
Demographic pipeline
88.1%Primary WBI
88.2%Secondary WBI
Stable demographic pipeline.
Fertility proxy (10-year school trend): WBI share in primary schools changing at -0.34pp/year. Gradual diversification in school-age population.
Source & validation
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
8National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
1.92Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in East Midlands by supported asylum.