Trend
-84 Latest quarter change
+1,100 Change across series
48 Official data points
Sandwell
1,595 on asylum support. Rank 11 nationally, 3 in West Midlands. Rate: 45.07 per 10,000 (96th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Sandwell has 1,595 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 11 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 45.07 per 10,000 residents places it around the 96th percentile. 233 are in contingency accommodation (14.6% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Sandwell
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 1,323
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 39
Contingency accommodation 233
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 227
Afghan programme 134
Resettlement cumulative 6
Population context
All pathways total 1,956
Share of local population 0.55%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Sandwell: WBI 52.0% (2021) → 9.2% (2051). White British minority by ~2022. 80% CI: 11.3–14.1%.
Ethnic composition — Sandwell
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 14.2% (2021) → 33.0% (2051). Christian 42.2% → 8.5%.
Religion — Sandwell
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Nativity
23.6% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: highly diverse (entropy 0.72). 83.6% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Sandwell
UK-born Foreign-born
established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Sandwell is changing
-13.8ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 57.3%
Mixed 65.3%
White Other 72.8%
Other 56.3%
Homeownership rate
White British 56.5%
Mixed 32.2%
White Other 29.1%
Other 49.1%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 22.1%
Mixed 27%
White Other 27.7%
Other 26.6%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 62,349 pupils. 35.2% White British. Schools are 16.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 35.2%
Asian 33.9%
Black 12%
Mixed 10.3%
White Other 5.3%
Other 3.3%
What this means
Schools are 17pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
64.8% Minority pupils now
81% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
1,595 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
45.07 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
233 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in West Midlands by supported asylum.