asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Sevenoaks

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Laura Trott
Laura TrottConservative · Sevenoaks
4 people on asylum support in Sevenoaks

Rank 328 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.32 per 10,000 puts Sevenoaks in the 10th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 4 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 4 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs Sevenoaks

£90Kestimated hotel costs/year
£10Ksubsistence payments/year
£5KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 4 people on asylum support in Sevenoaks(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Sevenoaks: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

4
4310Dec 2020Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Mar 20252
Jun 20253
Sept 20254
Dec 20254

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+3Change across series
7Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only4
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
4
Homes for Ukraine
593
Afghan programme
59
Resettlement cumulative
33

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine593
Afghan programme59
Resettlement cumulative33

Population context

All pathways total656
Share of local population0.53%

Ethnic composition projection

Sevenoaks: White British 85.5% (2021) to 66.5% (2051). 80% CI: 66.3, 70.5%.

Ethnic composition: Sevenoaks

024487296% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 56% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Asian 5% in 2061Black 4% in 2061Mixed 18% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Sevenoaks

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
91%
2021
86%
2031proj
81%
2041proj
75%
9%
2051proj
67%
11%
11%
2061proj
56%
13%
18%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Sevenoaks ranges from49.9% to 69.3%by 2051. That is a 19.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 56.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.0% (2021) → 2.3% (2051). Christian 55.1% → 13.6%.

Religion: Sevenoaks

928476685%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 80% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

11% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.34). 96.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Sevenoaks

628507294%Census 2021UK-born 50% in 2051Foreign-born 50% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
white other12.3% internal, 2.5% international
black12.6% internal, 1.4% international
asian11.1% internal, 2.8% international
other11% internal, 2.6% international
mixed9.8% internal, 2% international
white british7.4% internal, 0.3% international

Why Sevenoaks is changing

-5.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.9pp
Local migration
+1.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Sevenoaks on UK Demographics →