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West Midlands

Shropshire

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Helen Morgan
Helen MorganLiberal Democrats · North Shropshire

2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Shropshire.

111 people on asylum support in Shropshire

Rank 173 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 3.33 per 10,000 puts Shropshire in the 36th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 111 people at £107 per person per day is about £4.3M a year.

What asylum costs Shropshire

£2.5Mestimated hotel costs/year
£284Ksubsistence payments/year
£133KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 111 people on asylum support in Shropshire(0.12% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Shropshire: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

26
9563320Dec 2021Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20224
Dec 202266
Mar 202361
Jun 202365
Sept 202395
Dec 202386
Mar 202469
Sept 20244
Dec 20247
Mar 20257
Jun 202515
Sept 202515
Dec 202526

Trend

+11Latest quarter change
+24Change across series
16Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation110
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
111
Homes for Ukraine
867
Afghan programme
187
Resettlement cumulative
99

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine867
Afghan programme187
Resettlement cumulative99

Population context

All pathways total1,165
Share of local population0.35%

Ethnic composition projection

Shropshire: White British 93.3% (2021) to 85.8% (2051). 80% CI: 85.6, 87.8%.

Ethnic composition: Shropshire

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 81% in 2061White Other 6% in 2061Mixed 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Shropshire

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
93%
2031proj
92%
2041proj
89%
2051proj
86%
2061proj
81%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Shropshire ranges from71.5% to 84.3%by 2051. That is a 12.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 76.6% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 1.1% (2051). Christian 58.9% → 15.0%.

Religion: Shropshire

1029486786%Census 2021Christian 15% in 2051No religion 81% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.9% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.19). 97.4% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Shropshire

125507599%Census 2021UK-born 78% in 2051Foreign-born 23% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.1% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
asian13.6% internal, 8.6% international
black16.2% internal, 5.9% international
other12.1% internal, 7.5% international
mixed14.2% internal, 1.3% international
white other11.2% internal, 3.4% international
white british8.9% internal, 0.3% international

Why Shropshire is changing

-2.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+5.5pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Shropshire on UK Demographics →