Trend
-21 Latest quarter change
+294 Change across series
39 Official data points
Solihull
300 on asylum support. Rank 115 nationally, 12 in West Midlands. Rate: 13.56 per 10,000 (65th percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Solihull has 300 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 115 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 13.56 per 10,000 residents places it around the 65th percentile. 233 are in contingency accommodation (77.7% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Solihull
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 64
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 233
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 334
Afghan programme 73
Resettlement cumulative 24
Population context
All pathways total 707
Share of local population 0.32%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Solihull: WBI 77.9% (2021) → 34.3% (2051). White British minority by ~2042. 80% CI: 39–44.3%.
Ethnic composition — Solihull
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 5.6% (2021) → 23.5% (2051). Christian 53.5% → 11.1%.
Religion — Solihull
Christian No religion Muslim Hindu Sikh
Nativity
10.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.46). 95.5% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Solihull
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Solihull is changing
-7.9ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58.7%
Mixed 67%
White Other 65.6%
Other 66.4%
Homeownership rate
White British 73.9%
Mixed 44.2%
White Other 66.8%
Other 69.9%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 34.6%
Mixed 34.4%
White Other 47.1%
Other 54.6%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 39,214 pupils. 64.1% White British. Schools are 13.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 64.1%
Asian 18.7%
Mixed 9.4%
White Other 3.7%
Black 2.8%
Other 1.3%
What this means
Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
35.9% Minority pupils now
53.4% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
300 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
13.56 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
233 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in West Midlands by supported asylum.