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South West

South Hams

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Victoria Collins
Victoria CollinsLiberal Democrats · Harpenden and Berkhamsted

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping South Hams.

18 people on asylum support in South Hams

Rank 285 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.93 per 10,000 puts South Hams in the 26th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 18 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.7M a year.

What asylum costs South Hams

£406Kestimated hotel costs/year
£46Ksubsistence payments/year
£22KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 18 people on asylum support in South Hams(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

South Hams: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

15
271890Mar 2015Dec 2025Peak Jun 2024Bibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20151
Sept 20231
Dec 202316
Mar 202422
Jun 202427
Sept 202427
Dec 202427
Mar 202521
Jun 202517
Sept 202515
Dec 202515

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+14Change across series
11Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation18
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
18
Homes for Ukraine
293
Afghan programme
70
Resettlement cumulative
26

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine293
Afghan programme70
Resettlement cumulative26

Population context

All pathways total381
Share of local population0.41%

Ethnic composition projection

South Hams: White British 94.2% (2021) to 91.7% (2051). 80% CI: 91.4, 92.9%.

Ethnic composition: South Hams

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 91% in 2061White Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite Other 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: South Hams

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
94%
2031proj
94%
2041proj
93%
2051proj
92%
2061proj
91%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in South Hams ranges from47.3% to 75.1%by 2051. That is a 27.7pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 56.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.4% (2021) → 0.4% (2051). Christian 50.7% → 10.8%.

Religion: South Hams

627497193%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.16). 98.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: South Hams

126507499%Census 2021UK-born 65% in 2051Foreign-born 35% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.1% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
black18.8% internal, 3.5% international
white other14.2% internal, 2.9% international
asian14.4% internal, 2.6% international
mixed14.9% internal, 1.7% international
other11.2% internal, 4.6% international
white british9.8% internal, 0.5% international

Why South Hams is changing

-1.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View South Hams on UK Demographics →