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East of England

South Norfolk

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Ben Goldsborough
Ben GoldsboroughLabour · South Norfolk

5 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping South Norfolk.

19 people on asylum support in South Norfolk

Rank 283 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.26 per 10,000 puts South Norfolk in the 20th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 19 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.7M a year.

What asylum costs South Norfolk

£429Kestimated hotel costs/year
£49Ksubsistence payments/year
£23KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 19 people on asylum support in South Norfolk(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

South Norfolk: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

13
9563320Jun 2014Dec 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20151
Sept 20151
Dec 20151
Mar 20161
Jun 20161
Sept 20161
Dec 20161
Mar 20172
Jun 20172
Sept 20172
Dec 20172
Mar 20182
Jun 20191
Sept 20191
Dec 20191
Mar 20202
Jun 20202
Sept 20202
Dec 20202
Mar 20211
Jun 20211
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 20232
Sept 202395
Dec 202360
Mar 202446
Jun 202452
Sept 202456
Dec 202469
Mar 202537
Jun 202569
Sept 20254
Dec 202513

Trend

+9Latest quarter change
+12Change across series
42Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation17
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
19
Homes for Ukraine
420
Afghan programme
21
Resettlement cumulative
0

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine420
Afghan programme21
Resettlement cumulative0

Population context

All pathways total460
Share of local population0.31%

Ethnic composition projection

South Norfolk: White British 91.8% (2021) to 84.0% (2051).

Ethnic composition: South Norfolk

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 80% in 2061White Other 6% in 2061Mixed 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: South Norfolk

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
87%
2051proj
84%
2061proj
80%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in South Norfolk ranges from56.8% to 77.3%by 2051. That is a 20.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 64.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.7% (2021) → 1.8% (2051). Christian 50.6% → 10.9%.

Religion: South Norfolk

627486990%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 85% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.22). 97.4% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: South Norfolk

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 62% in 2051Foreign-born 38% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.8% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black19.4% internal, 3.3% international
other15% internal, 3.2% international
asian12.6% internal, 3.6% international
mixed13.8% internal, 0.8% international
white other11.3% internal, 3.2% international
white british8.4% internal, 0.2% international

Why South Norfolk is changing

-3.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+4.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View South Norfolk on UK Demographics →