Trend
-31Latest quarter change
+80Change across series
14Official data points
South Staffordshire
Mike Wood
2 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping South Staffordshire.
22 people on asylum support in South Staffordshire
Rank 275 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.92 per 10,000 puts South Staffordshire in the 26th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 2 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 17 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 22 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.9M a year.
What asylum costs South Staffordshire
£497Kestimated hotel costs/year
£56Ksubsistence payments/year
£26KLA dispersal grant/year
Estimates based on 22 people on asylum support in South Staffordshire(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.
South Staffordshire: asylum numbers falling
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Exact values
| Period | Value |
|---|---|
| Sept 2014 | 1 |
| Dec 2014 | 1 |
| Jun 2022 | 1 |
| Dec 2022 | 182 |
| Mar 2023 | 209 |
| Jun 2023 | 228 |
| Sept 2023 | 209 |
| Jun 2024 | 5 |
| Sept 2024 | 5 |
| Dec 2024 | 79 |
| Mar 2025 | 73 |
| Jun 2025 | 94 |
| Sept 2025 | 112 |
| Dec 2025 | 81 |
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation3
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only2
Contingency accommodation17
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine105
Afghan programme25
Resettlement cumulative0
Population context
All pathways total152
Share of local population0.13%
Ethnic composition projection
South Staffordshire: White British 92.2% (2021) to 82.5% (2051).
Ethnic composition: South Staffordshire
White BritishAsianMixedOther
Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.
Ethnic composition: South Staffordshire
Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.
Scenario explorer
Under different assumptions, White British share in South Staffordshire ranges from51.6% to 75.7%by 2051. That is a 24.1pp spread.
Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 60.0% by 2051
Religion projection
Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 3.7% (2051). Christian 62.2% → 13.6%.
Religion: South Staffordshire
ChristianNo religionMuslim
Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.
Nativity
3.3% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.22). 98.8% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born: South Staffordshire
UK-bornForeign-born
Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Census 2021 mobility: 7.7% moved within UK, 0.2% arrived from abroad
black22.2% internal, 0.3% international
mixed15.5% internal, 0.4% international
other13.4% internal, 2.3% international
white other14% internal, 0.7% international
asian12.1% internal, 0.6% international
white british7.1% internal, 0.1% international
Why South Staffordshire is changing
-2.5ppWhite British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View South Staffordshire on UK Demographics →
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British56.6%
Mixed61.8%
White Other55.8%
Other65.5%
Homeownership rate
White British75.7%
Mixed59.5%
White Other64.8%
Other77.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British29.1%
Mixed31.9%
White Other39.5%
Other47.1%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
22National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
1.92Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
17Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in West Midlands by supported asylum.