Trend
+13 Latest quarter change
+596 Change across series
48 Official data points
South Tyneside
625 on asylum support. Rank 54 nationally, 7 in North East. Rate: 41.28 per 10,000 (95th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
Summary
South Tyneside has 625 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 54 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 41.28 per 10,000 residents places it around the 95th percentile. 28 are in contingency accommodation (4.5% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in South Tyneside
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 596
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 1
Contingency accommodation 28
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 121
Afghan programme 56
Resettlement cumulative 0
Population context
All pathways total 802
Share of local population 0.53%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
South Tyneside: WBI 93.0% (2021) → 86.0% (2051). 80% CI: 76.7–80.9%.
Ethnic composition — South Tyneside
White British Asian Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 2.6% (2021) → 2.0% (2051). Christian 55.1% → 7.8%.
Religion — South Tyneside
Christian No religion
Nativity
4.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.2). 97.7% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — South Tyneside
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why South Tyneside is changing
-2.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 55.7%
Mixed 60.6%
White Other 70%
Other 49.1%
Homeownership rate
White British 57.5%
Mixed 46.6%
White Other 48.1%
Other 37.6%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 25.7%
Mixed 36.8%
White Other 44.5%
Other 34%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 22,809 pupils. 87.2% White British. Schools are 5.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 87.2%
Asian 4.5%
Mixed 3.4%
Black 2%
White Other 1.8%
Other 1.2%
What this means
Schools are 6pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
12.8% Minority pupils now
19.9% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
625 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
41.28 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
28 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in North East by supported asylum.