Trend
+13 Latest quarter change
+265 Change across series
48 Official data points
Southampton
342 on asylum support. Rank 106 nationally, 8 in South East. Rate: 13.18 per 10,000 (63rd percentile). Regional provider: Clearsprings Ready Homes.
Summary
Southampton has 342 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 106 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 13.18 per 10,000 residents places it around the 63rd percentile. 105 are in contingency accommodation (30.7% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Southampton
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 213
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 24
Contingency accommodation 105
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 344
Afghan programme 137
Resettlement cumulative 42
Population context
All pathways total 823
Share of local population 0.32%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Southampton: WBI 68.1% (2021) → 31.4% (2051). White British minority by ~2036. 80% CI: 28.1–35.8%.
Ethnic composition — Southampton
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 6.0% (2021) → 10.0% (2051). Christian 43.0% → 14.3%.
Religion — Southampton
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
24.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.59). 84.6% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Southampton
UK-born Foreign-born
established diversity: High foreign-born share means ethnic change is migration-driven. Future projections are sensitive to immigration policy.
Why Southampton is changing
-9.6ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 59.4%
Mixed 63%
White Other 78%
Other 59.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 52.6%
Mixed 33.2%
White Other 28.2%
Other 31.2%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 29.7%
Mixed 33.7%
White Other 41.4%
Other 44.8%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 34,094 pupils. 53.8% White British. Schools are 14.3pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 53.8%
Asian 16.3%
White Other 12.7%
Mixed 7.8%
Black 7.1%
Other 2.3%
What this means
Schools are 14pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
46.2% Minority pupils now
60.8% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
NHS and council services will need increased interpreter/translation provision.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
342 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
13.18 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
105 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in South East by supported asylum.