asylumstatsFollow the money
West Midlands

Stafford

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mike Wood
Mike WoodConservative · Kingswinford and South Staffordshire

3 MPs cover constituencies in or overlapping Stafford.

76 people on asylum support in Stafford

Rank 201 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 5.32 per 10,000 puts Stafford in the 45th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 76 people at £107 per person per day is about £3.0M a year.

What asylum costs Stafford

£1.7Mestimated hotel costs/year
£194Ksubsistence payments/year
£91KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 76 people on asylum support in Stafford(0.08% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Stafford: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

29
7751260Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20144
Mar 20152
Jun 20185
Sept 20184
Dec 20183
Mar 20192
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20212
Dec 20212
Mar 20222
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 202369
Jun 202377
Sept 202375
Mar 20254
Jun 20252
Sept 202513
Dec 202529

Trend

+16Latest quarter change
+25Change across series
22Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation75
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
76
Homes for Ukraine
225
Afghan programme
31
Resettlement cumulative
27

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine225
Afghan programme31
Resettlement cumulative27

Population context

All pathways total332
Share of local population0.23%

Ethnic composition projection

Stafford: White British 90.0% (2021) to 78.3% (2051). 80% CI: 78.2, 81.7%.

Ethnic composition: Stafford

024497398% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 71% in 2061White Other 6% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Mixed 10% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Stafford

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
93%
2021
90%
2031proj
87%
2041proj
84%
2051proj
78%
2061proj
71%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Stafford ranges from54.8% to 74.9%by 2051. That is a 20.1pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 62.1% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.1% (2021) → 1.1% (2051). Christian 57.4% → 14.6%.

Religion: Stafford

1029486787%Census 2021Christian 15% in 2051No religion 82% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.26). 96.5% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Stafford

326507498%Census 2021UK-born 73% in 2051Foreign-born 27% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
other13.5% internal, 4.7% international
black16.3% internal, 1.5% international
asian13% internal, 2.6% international
white other12.7% internal, 2.6% international
mixed12.5% internal, 1% international
white british8.5% internal, 0.2% international

Why Stafford is changing

-2.6pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+4.8pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Stafford on UK Demographics →