Trend
+27 Latest quarter change
+281 Change across series
48 Official data points
Stockton-on-Tees
832 on asylum support. Rank 29 nationally, 2 in North East. Rate: 40.23 per 10,000 (94th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
Summary
Stockton-on-Tees has 832 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 29 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 40.23 per 10,000 residents places it around the 94th percentile. 23 are in contingency accommodation (2.8% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Stockton-on-Tees
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 806
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 23
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 235
Afghan programme 115
Resettlement cumulative 0
Population context
All pathways total 1,182
Share of local population 0.57%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Stockton-on-Tees: WBI 90.3% (2021) → 76.7% (2051). 80% CI: 65.1–70.7%.
Ethnic composition — Stockton-on-Tees
White British White Other Asian Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 3.6% (2021) → 5.4% (2051). Christian 53.8% → 8.7%.
Religion — Stockton-on-Tees
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
6.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.25). 97% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Stockton-on-Tees
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Stockton-on-Tees is changing
-3.1ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 58.2%
Mixed 65%
White Other 70.9%
Other 50.6%
Homeownership rate
White British 67.3%
Mixed 50.6%
White Other 48.5%
Other 40.5%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 29%
Mixed 38.2%
White Other 46.4%
Other 41.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 31,503 pupils. 82.1% White British. Schools are 8.2pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 82.1%
Asian 6.5%
Black 4%
Mixed 3.9%
White Other 2.3%
Other 1.2%
What this means
Schools are 8pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
17.9% Minority pupils now
25.8% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
832 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
40.23 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
23 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in North East by supported asylum.