Trend
+18 Latest quarter change
+686 Change across series
48 Official data points
Sunderland
831 on asylum support. Rank 30 nationally, 3 in North East. Rate: 28.79 per 10,000 (86th percentile). Regional provider: Mears.
2025-12-31 North East region
Summary
Sunderland has 831 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 30 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 28.79 per 10,000 residents places it around the 86th percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Sunderland
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 824
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 7
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 212
Afghan programme 31
Resettlement cumulative 0
Population context
All pathways total 1,074
Share of local population 0.37%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Sunderland: WBI 92.9% (2021) → 82.7% (2051). 80% CI: 76.9–81.1%.
Ethnic composition — Sunderland
White British White Other Asian Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 1.9% (2021) → 1.6% (2051). Christian 55.7% → 8.8%.
Religion — Sunderland
Christian No religion
Nativity
5.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.2). 97.4% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Sunderland
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Sunderland is changing
-1.9ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 55.4%
Mixed 65.8%
White Other 67.8%
Other 57.9%
Homeownership rate
White British 59%
Mixed 47.5%
White Other 40.4%
Other 37.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 24.1%
Mixed 38.7%
White Other 40.6%
Other 44.3%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 41,568 pupils. 84.3% White British. Schools are 8.6pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 84.3%
Black 5.7%
Asian 5%
Mixed 2.5%
White Other 1.8%
Other 0.7%
What this means
Schools are 9pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
15.7% Minority pupils now
21.5% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
Housing demand growth from demographic change is moderate.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
831 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
28.79 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 5 in North East by supported asylum.