Trend
-53 Latest quarter change
+207 Change across series
18 Official data points
Tamworth
208 on asylum support. Rank 139 nationally, 13 in West Midlands. Rate: 25.64 per 10,000 (83rd percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Tamworth has 208 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 139 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 25.64 per 10,000 residents places it around the 83rd percentile. 170 are in contingency accommodation (81.7% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Tamworth
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 38
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 0
Contingency accommodation 170
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 61
Afghan programme 17
Resettlement cumulative 19
Population context
All pathways total 286
Share of local population 0.35%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Tamworth: WBI 90.9% (2021) → 71.7% (2051). 80% CI: 64.3–70.4%.
Ethnic composition — Tamworth
White British White Other Mixed 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.8% (2051). Christian 51.6% → 12.7%.
Religion — Tamworth
Christian No religion
Nativity
6.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.24). 95.7% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Tamworth
UK-born Foreign-born
low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Tamworth is changing
-4.2ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 61.8%
Mixed 71.2%
White Other 82.6%
Other 78.2%
Homeownership rate
White British 69.1%
Mixed 50.7%
White Other 43.9%
Other 44.9%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 21.3%
Mixed 26.3%
White Other 30.8%
Other 30.2%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
EAL demand growth is moderate.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
208 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
25.64 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
170 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in West Midlands by supported asylum.