asylumstatsFollow the money
West Midlands

Tamworth

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Sarah Edwards
Sarah EdwardsLabour · Tamworth
133 people on asylum support in Tamworth

Rank 164 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 16.34 per 10,000 puts Tamworth in the 73rd percentile. That means this area carries more than most. 88 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 133 people at £107 per person per day is about £5.2M a year.

What asylum costs Tamworth

£3.0Mestimated hotel costs/year
£340Ksubsistence payments/year
£160KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 133 people on asylum support in Tamworth(0.14% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Tamworth: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

208
266177890Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Albania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Sept 20151
Dec 2022136
Mar 2023143
Jun 2023141
Sept 2023244
Dec 2023199
Mar 2024186
Jun 2024162
Sept 20246
Dec 2024228
Mar 2025183
Jun 2025266
Sept 2025261
Dec 2025208

Trend

-53Latest quarter change
+207Change across series
18Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation45
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation88

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
133
Homes for Ukraine
65
Afghan programme
17
Resettlement cumulative
19

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine65
Afghan programme17
Resettlement cumulative19

Population context

All pathways total215
Share of local population0.26%

Ethnic composition projection

Tamworth: White British 90.8% (2021) to 78.4% (2051). 80% CI: 77.7, 81.8%.

Ethnic composition: Tamworth

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 72% in 2061White Other 13% in 2061Mixed 11% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Tamworth

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
91%
2031proj
88%
2041proj
84%
9%
2051proj
78%
11%
2061proj
72%
13%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Tamworth ranges from47.0% to 72.2%by 2051. That is a 25.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.4% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.5% (2021) → 0.8% (2051). Christian 51.6% → 12.7%.

Religion: Tamworth

828496990%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 85% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

6.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.24). 95.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Tamworth

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 63% in 2051Foreign-born 37% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.3% moved within UK, 0.3% arrived from abroad
white other16.3% internal, 3.8% international
mixed15.3% internal, 0.4% international
other11.5% internal, 2.1% international
black12.6% internal, 0.6% international
asian10.3% internal, 1% international
white british7.6% internal, 0.1% international

Why Tamworth is changing

-4.2pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+3.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Tamworth on UK Demographics →