asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Tandridge

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
16 people on asylum support in Tandridge

Rank 290 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.77 per 10,000 puts Tandridge in the 24th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 16 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.6M a year.

What asylum costs Tandridge

£361Kestimated hotel costs/year
£41Ksubsistence payments/year
£19KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 16 people on asylum support in Tandridge(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Tandridge: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

19
191360Dec 2015Dec 2025Peak Sept 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20151
Dec 20171
Sept 20201
Dec 20202
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20213
Dec 20213
Mar 20223
Jun 20223
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 202315
Sept 202314
Dec 20231
Mar 202413
Jun 202412
Sept 202412
Dec 202416
Mar 202518
Jun 202518
Sept 202519
Dec 202519

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+18Change across series
24Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation13
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
16
Homes for Ukraine
281
Afghan programme
175
Resettlement cumulative
8

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine281
Afghan programme175
Resettlement cumulative8

Population context

All pathways total472
Share of local population0.52%

Ethnic composition projection

Tandridge: White British 83.5% (2021) to 65.5% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Tandridge

024477194% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 56% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 7% in 2061Black 5% in 2061Mixed 19% in 2061Other 4% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Tandridge

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
89%
2021
84%
2031proj
79%
2041proj
73%
8%
2051proj
66%
9%
13%
2061proj
56%
9%
19%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Tandridge ranges from43.1% to 64.7%by 2051. That is a 21.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 50.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.4% (2021) → 4.3% (2051). Christian 54.7% → 13.9%.

Religion: Tandridge

021426384%Census 2021Christian 14% in 2051No religion 79% in 2051Muslim 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

11% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.38). 96.9% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Tandridge

628507294%Census 2021UK-born 50% in 2051Foreign-born 50% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8% moved within UK, 0.6% arrived from abroad
other14.1% internal, 1.4% international
black13.8% internal, 1.2% international
asian10.7% internal, 2.7% international
white other11.2% internal, 2.2% international
mixed10.4% internal, 0.8% international
white british7.3% internal, 0.3% international

Why Tandridge is changing

-5.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.7pp
Local migration
+1.3pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Tandridge on UK Demographics →