South West

Teignbridge

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
42 people on asylum support in Teignbridge

Rank 238 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 3.03 per 10,000 puts Teignbridge in the 34th percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. Accommodation and support for 42 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.6M a year.

What asylum costs Teignbridge

£948Kestimated hotel costs/year
£107Ksubsistence payments/year
£50KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 42 people on asylum support in Teignbridge(0.05% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Teignbridge: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

40
4027130Jun 2021Dec 2025Peak Dec 2025Rwanda schemeBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20231
Mar 20247
Jun 202410
Sept 202414
Dec 202414
Mar 202513
Jun 202519
Sept 202533
Dec 202540

Trend

+7Latest quarter change
+39Change across series
14Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation42
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
42
Homes for Ukraine
402
Afghan programme
40
Resettlement cumulative
34

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine402
Afghan programme40
Resettlement cumulative34

Population context

All pathways total484
Share of local population0.35%

Ethnic composition projection

Teignbridge: White British 94.9% (2021) to 91.7% (2051). 80% CI: 91.6, 92.9%.

Ethnic composition: Teignbridge

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 90% in 2061White Other 3% in 2061Mixed 5% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Teignbridge

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
96%
2021
95%
2031proj
94%
2041proj
93%
2051proj
92%
2061proj
90%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Teignbridge ranges from57.7% to 81.1%by 2051. That is a 23.4pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 66.0% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.3% (2021) → 0.5% (2051). Christian 50.4% → 10.0%.

Religion: Teignbridge

527497193%Census 2021Christian 10% in 2051No religion 88% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.2% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.15). 98.6% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Teignbridge

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 70% in 2051Foreign-born 30% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
black22.4% internal, 7.3% international
other14.3% internal, 1.7% international
white other11.7% internal, 2.5% international
mixed13.1% internal, 0.7% international
asian9.3% internal, 2.7% international
white british8.8% internal, 0.3% international

Why Teignbridge is changing

-1.3pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.3pp
Local migration
+6.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).