Trend
-53 Latest quarter change
+707 Change across series
48 Official data points
Telford and Wrekin
710 on asylum support. Rank 43 nationally, 7 in West Midlands. Rate: 36.23 per 10,000 (93rd percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
Summary
Telford and Wrekin has 710 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 43 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 36.23 per 10,000 residents places it around the 93rd percentile. 233 are in contingency accommodation (32.8% of total). No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Telford and Wrekin
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 474
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 3
Contingency accommodation 233
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 376
Afghan programme 231
Resettlement cumulative 56
Population context
All pathways total 1,317
Share of local population 0.67%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Telford and Wrekin: WBI 83.0% (2021) → 54.4% (2051). White British minority by ~2054. 80% CI: 48.3–54.4%.
Ethnic composition — Telford and Wrekin
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 2.9% (2021) → 5.3% (2051). Christian 50.4% → 12.5%.
Religion — Telford and Wrekin
Christian No religion Muslim
Nativity
11.4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.39). 93.4% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Telford and Wrekin
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.
Why Telford and Wrekin is changing
-6.5ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 59.5%
Mixed 68.3%
White Other 80%
Other 65.5%
Homeownership rate
White British 62.2%
Mixed 41.4%
White Other 37.6%
Other 53.8%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 25.7%
Mixed 28.1%
White Other 30.5%
Other 33.1%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 31,791 pupils. 68.2% White British. Schools are 14.8pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 68.2%
Asian 10.4%
Black 7.3%
Mixed 6.8%
White Other 6.5%
Other 0.8%
What this means
Schools are 15pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
31.8% Minority pupils now
40.4% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
710 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
36.23 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
233 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in West Midlands by supported asylum.