asylumstatsFollow the money
South East

Thanet

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Ms Polly Billington
Ms Polly BillingtonLabour · East Thanet
94 people on asylum support in Thanet

Rank 181 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 6.55 per 10,000 puts Thanet in the 51st percentile. That means a moderate load compared to the national picture. 12 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. 47 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 94 people at £107 per person per day is about £3.7M a year.

What asylum costs Thanet

£2.1Mestimated hotel costs/year
£240Ksubsistence payments/year
£113KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 94 people on asylum support in Thanet(0.10% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Thanet: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

122
12684420Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20142
Sept 20141
Jun 20184
Sept 20189
Dec 20184
Mar 20194
Jun 20191
Sept 20191
Dec 20192
Mar 20204
Jun 20201
Sept 20202
Dec 20203
Mar 20212
Jun 20212
Sept 20214
Dec 20214
Mar 20224
Jun 20223
Sept 20223
Dec 20223
Mar 20231
Jun 20238
Sept 202378
Dec 202378
Mar 202463
Jun 202478
Sept 202490
Dec 2024108
Mar 2025103
Jun 2025126
Sept 2025126
Dec 2025122

Trend

-4Latest quarter change
+121Change across series
34Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation35
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only12
Contingency accommodation47

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
94
Homes for Ukraine
385
Afghan programme
46
Resettlement cumulative
8

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine385
Afghan programme46
Resettlement cumulative8

Population context

All pathways total525
Share of local population0.37%

Ethnic composition projection

Thanet: White British 87.3% (2021) to 73.9% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Thanet

024487295% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 66% in 2061White Other 9% in 2061Asian 4% in 2061Mixed 10% in 2061Other 9% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Thanet

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
87%
2031proj
84%
2041proj
80%
2051proj
74%
2061proj
66%
9%
10%
9%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Thanet ranges from53.6% to 72.4%by 2051. That is a 18.8pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 60.5% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.6% (2021) → 3.5% (2051). Christian 49.6% → 10.7%.

Religion: Thanet

022456789%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 84% in 2051Muslim 3% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

9.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.31). 95.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Thanet

527507395%Census 2021UK-born 54% in 2051Foreign-born 46% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black12.9% internal, 5.7% international
other11.8% internal, 3.7% international
asian10.2% internal, 3.3% international
mixed12.7% internal, 0.8% international
white other11.2% internal, 1.9% international
white british8.7% internal, 0.2% international

Why Thanet is changing

-3.1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+4.1pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Thanet on UK Demographics →