asylumstatsFollow the money
South West

Torbay

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Steve Darling
Steve DarlingLiberal Democrats · Torbay
31 people on asylum support in Torbay

Rank 253 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.22 per 10,000 puts Torbay in the 28th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 31 people at £107 per person per day is about £1.2M a year.

What asylum costs Torbay

£700Kestimated hotel costs/year
£79Ksubsistence payments/year
£37KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 31 people on asylum support in Torbay(0.03% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Torbay: asylum numbers still rising

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

56
188125630Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20141
Jun 20141
Sept 20141
Dec 20141
Mar 20151
Jun 20151
Dec 20171
Mar 20181
Jun 20181
Sept 20181
Dec 20181
Mar 20191
Jun 20192
Sept 20192
Dec 20191
Mar 20201
Jun 20201
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Dec 20211
Mar 20221
Jun 20221
Sept 20221
Dec 2022181
Mar 2023188
Jun 2023114
Sept 2023114
Dec 202315
Mar 202440
Jun 202440
Sept 202440
Dec 202441
Mar 202547
Jun 202545
Sept 202542
Dec 202556

Trend

+14Latest quarter change
+55Change across series
36Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation30
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
31
Homes for Ukraine
249
Afghan programme
10
Resettlement cumulative
22

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine249
Afghan programme10
Resettlement cumulative22

Population context

All pathways total290
Share of local population0.21%

Ethnic composition projection

Torbay: White British 92.1% (2021) to 85.1% (2051). 80% CI: 84.7, 87.1%.

Ethnic composition: Torbay

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 82% in 2061White Other 7% in 2061Mixed 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Torbay

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
95%
2021
92%
2031proj
90%
2041proj
88%
2051proj
85%
2061proj
82%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Torbay ranges from56.1% to 77.6%by 2051. That is a 21.5pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 63.9% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.6% (2021) → 0.8% (2051). Christian 51.8% → 11.3%.

Religion: Torbay

628497091%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 86% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

7.1% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.21). 97.1% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Torbay

226507498%Census 2021UK-born 62% in 2051Foreign-born 38% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.7% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
asian12.6% internal, 6.2% international
black15.5% internal, 2% international
other11.5% internal, 4.2% international
mixed13% internal, 0.8% international
white other10.3% internal, 2.7% international
white british8.4% internal, 0.3% international

Why Torbay is changing

-2.7pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.2pp
Local migration
+4.9pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Torbay on UK Demographics →