South West

Torridge

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Sir Geoffrey Cox
Sir Geoffrey CoxConservative · Torridge and Tavistock
6 people on asylum support in Torridge

Rank 319 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.85 per 10,000 puts Torridge in the 16th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. Accommodation and support for 6 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs Torridge

£135Kestimated hotel costs/year
£15Ksubsistence payments/year
£7KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 6 people on asylum support in Torridge(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Torridge: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

6
6420Mar 2014Dec 2025Peak Jun 2024Rwanda schemeAlbania dealRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Mar 20142
Jun 20142
Dec 20142
Mar 20152
Jun 20152
Jun 20221
Sept 20221
Dec 20221
Mar 20231
Jun 20231
Jun 20246
Sept 20246
Dec 20246
Jun 20256
Sept 20256
Dec 20256

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+4Change across series
16Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation6
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
6
Homes for Ukraine
194
Afghan programme
0
Resettlement cumulative
22

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine194
Afghan programme0
Resettlement cumulative22

Population context

All pathways total200
Share of local population0.28%

Ethnic composition projection

Torridge: White British 96.1% (2021) to 70.1% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Torridge

0255075100% of populationCensus 2021White British 70% in 2051White Other 9% in 2051Asian 10% in 2051Black 4% in 2051Mixed 3% in 2051Other 3% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Torridge

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
97%
2021
96%
2026proj
93%
2031proj
89%
2036proj
85%
2041proj
80%
2046proj
75%
8%
2051proj
70%
9%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Torridge ranges from42.8% to 73.5%by 2051. That is a 30.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 52.3% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.2% (2021) → 0.1% (2051). Christian 52.2% → 11.7%.

Religion: Torridge

728507192%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 87% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

4% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.12). 99% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Torridge

0255075100%Census 2021UK-born 75% in 2051Foreign-born 25% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 9.3% moved within UK, 0.4% arrived from abroad
white other11.7% internal, 3.9% international
other14.4% internal, 0.8% international
asian7.5% internal, 7.5% international
mixed12.3% internal, 1.9% international
black9.5% internal, 1.4% international
white british9.2% internal, 0.3% international

Why Torridge is changing

-1pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.4pp
Local migration
+6.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: local migration. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).