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South East

Tunbridge Wells

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Mike Martin
Mike MartinLiberal Democrats · Tunbridge Wells
1 people on asylum support in Tunbridge Wells

Rank 345 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.08 per 10,000 puts Tunbridge Wells in the 5th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 1 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.0M a year.

What asylum costs Tunbridge Wells

£23Kestimated hotel costs/year
£3Ksubsistence payments/year
£1KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 1 people on asylum support in Tunbridge Wells(0.00% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Tunbridge Wells: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Jun 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

2
5320Dec 2017Jun 2025Peak Sept 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby Stockholm
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20171
Mar 20181
Sept 20181
Sept 20191
Dec 20191
Mar 20201
Jun 20202
Sept 20202
Dec 20201
Mar 20211
Jun 20212
Sept 20213
Dec 20213
Mar 20222
Jun 20223
Sept 20223
Dec 20223
Mar 20234
Jun 20234
Sept 20235
Mar 20252
Jun 20252

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+1Change across series
22Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation0
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
1
Homes for Ukraine
551
Afghan programme
48
Resettlement cumulative
58

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine551
Afghan programme48
Resettlement cumulative58

Population context

All pathways total600
Share of local population0.5%

Ethnic composition projection

Tunbridge Wells: White British 84.2% (2021) to 62.9% (2051). 80% CI: 62.6, 67.6%.

Ethnic composition: Tunbridge Wells

024477195% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 52% in 2061White Other 14% in 2061Asian 10% in 2061Mixed 16% in 2061Other 6% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixedOther 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Tunbridge Wells

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
90%
2021
84%
2031proj
79%
9%
2041proj
72%
11%
2051proj
63%
12%
8%
10%
2061proj
52%
14%
10%
16%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Tunbridge Wells ranges from48.8% to 67.9%by 2051. That is a 19.2pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.6% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.8% (2021) → 3.2% (2051). Christian 53.0% → 13.3%.

Religion: Tunbridge Wells

020416181%Census 2021Christian 13% in 2051No religion 76% in 2051Muslim 3% in 2051Hindu 6% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslimHindu

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

13.5% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.36). 94.7% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Tunbridge Wells

929507192%Census 2021UK-born 44% in 2051Foreign-born 56% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.4% moved within UK, 0.8% arrived from abroad
black19.5% internal, 3.7% international
other16.6% internal, 4% international
asian15.5% internal, 4.9% international
white other13.8% internal, 2.5% international
mixed14.5% internal, 1.6% international
white british9.5% internal, 0.4% international

Why Tunbridge Wells is changing

-5.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+1.7pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Tunbridge Wells on UK Demographics →