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East of England

Uttlesford

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
21 people on asylum support in Uttlesford

Rank 277 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 2.17 per 10,000 puts Uttlesford in the 28th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 9 in contingency accommodation (hotels, not housing). Accommodation and support for 21 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.8M a year.

What asylum costs Uttlesford

£474Kestimated hotel costs/year
£54Ksubsistence payments/year
£25KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 21 people on asylum support in Uttlesford(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Uttlesford: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

60
197131660Dec 2021Dec 2025Peak Mar 2023Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 202143
Mar 202212
Jun 202212
Sept 202231
Dec 2022180
Mar 2023197
Jun 2023184
Sept 2023181
Dec 2023155
Mar 202499
Jun 202471
Sept 2024115
Dec 202497
Mar 202575
Jun 202565
Sept 202567
Dec 202560

Trend

-7Latest quarter change
+17Change across series
17Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation12
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only0
Contingency accommodation9

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
21
Homes for Ukraine
388
Afghan programme
32
Resettlement cumulative
28

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine388
Afghan programme32
Resettlement cumulative28

Population context

All pathways total441
Share of local population0.46%

Ethnic composition projection

Uttlesford: White British 88.9% (2021) to 81.1% (2051). 80% CI: 81.1, 83.9%.

Ethnic composition: Uttlesford

024497397% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 77% in 2061White Other 7% in 2061Mixed 10% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Uttlesford

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
92%
2021
89%
2031proj
87%
2041proj
85%
2051proj
81%
2061proj
77%
10%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Uttlesford ranges from47.8% to 71.4%by 2051. That is a 23.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 55.8% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 0.8% (2021) → 0.9% (2051). Christian 53.3% → 12.2%.

Religion: Uttlesford

728486990%Census 2021Christian 12% in 2051No religion 85% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

8.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.28). 97% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Uttlesford

427507396%Census 2021UK-born 57% in 2051Foreign-born 43% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 8.7% moved within UK, 0.5% arrived from abroad
black16.2% internal, 2.1% international
white other11.7% internal, 2.6% international
asian10.4% internal, 2.4% international
mixed11.5% internal, 1% international
other11% internal, 1.5% international
white british8.4% internal, 0.3% international

Why Uttlesford is changing

-3.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1pp
Local migration
+4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Uttlesford on UK Demographics →