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Wales

Vale of Glamorgan

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
Kanishka Narayan
Kanishka NarayanLabour · Vale of Glamorgan
21 people on asylum support in Vale of Glamorgan

Rank 278 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 1.55 per 10,000 puts Vale of Glamorgan in the 23rd percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 1 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 21 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.8M a year.

What asylum costs Vale of Glamorgan

£474Kestimated hotel costs/year
£54Ksubsistence payments/year
£25KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 21 people on asylum support in Vale of Glamorgan(0.02% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Vale of Glamorgan: asylum numbers falling

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

17
211470Dec 2017Dec 2025Peak Jun 2025Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Dec 20175
Mar 20184
Jun 20184
Dec 20181
Mar 20192
Jun 20192
Sept 20191
Dec 20193
Mar 20203
Jun 20203
Sept 20203
Dec 20203
Mar 20212
Jun 20211
Sept 20211
Jun 20222
Sept 20222
Dec 20222
Mar 20232
Jun 20232
Sept 20236
Dec 20235
Mar 20244
Jun 20246
Sept 20247
Dec 202412
Mar 202518
Jun 202521
Sept 202520
Dec 202517

Trend

-3Latest quarter change
+12Change across series
30Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation20
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only1
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
21
Homes for Ukraine
285
Afghan programme
127
Resettlement cumulative
92

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine285
Afghan programme127
Resettlement cumulative92

Population context

All pathways total433
Share of local population0.32%

Ethnic composition projection

Vale of Glamorgan: White British 92.0% (2021) to 76.4% (2051).

Ethnic composition: Vale of Glamorgan

025507599% of populationCensus 2021White British 76% in 2051White Other 6% in 2051Asian 7% in 2051Mixed 5% in 205120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Vale of Glamorgan

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
94%
2021
92%
2026proj
90%
2031proj
88%
2036proj
85%
2041proj
82%
2046proj
79%
2051proj
76%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Religion projection

Muslim 1.0% (2021) → 1.7% (2051). Christian 46.8% → 11.2%.

Religion: Vale of Glamorgan

627486990%Census 2021Christian 11% in 2051No religion 85% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religion

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

5.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: low diversity (entropy 0.22). 98.2% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Vale of Glamorgan

125507599%Census 2021UK-born 78% in 2051Foreign-born 22% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

low immigration: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Why Vale of Glamorgan is changing

-2.4pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-1.1pp
Local migration
+5.2pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Vale of Glamorgan on UK Demographics →