Trend
-10 Latest quarter change
+506 Change across series
48 Official data points
Walsall
691 on asylum support. Rank 49 nationally, 8 in West Midlands. Rate: 23.37 per 10,000 (82nd percentile). Regional provider: Serco.
2025-12-31 West Midlands region
Summary
Walsall has 691 people on asylum support at quarter end, ranking 49 out of 361 local authorities nationally. The rate of 23.37 per 10,000 residents places it around the 82nd percentile. No contingency accommodation recorded. No hotel evidence attached yet. These are quarter-end stock numbers, not throughput.
Supported asylum in Walsall
Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.
Local numbers
Accommodation split
Dispersal accommodation 679
Initial accommodation 0
Subsistence only 12
Contingency accommodation 0
Pathway breakdown
Other routes
Homes for Ukraine 139
Afghan programme 190
Resettlement cumulative 25
Population context
All pathways total 1,020
Share of local population 0.34%
Hotel evidence
No public hotel evidence attached to this area yet.
No public hotel evidence logged for this area yet.
Ethnic composition projection
Walsall: WBI 67.4% (2021) → 20.4% (2051). White British minority by ~2034. 80% CI: 25–30%.
Ethnic composition — Walsall
White British White Other Asian Black Mixed Other 80% CI
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained
Census 2011 → 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation (σ=0.04, calibrated from NEWETHPOP validation). Not a forecast.
Religion projection
Muslim 11.9% (2021) → 17.0% (2051). Christian 47.1% → 11.2%.
Religion — Walsall
Christian No religion Muslim Sikh
Nativity
14.8% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: diverse (entropy 0.57). 90.2% main language English.
UK-born vs foreign-born — Walsall
UK-born Foreign-born
emerging diversity: Low foreign-born share with significant ethnic diversity suggests second/third-generation growth is the primary driver. Less sensitive to immigration policy changes.
Why Walsall is changing
-9.5ppWhite British change 2011–2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.
Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).
Economy & housing by ethnicity
Census 2021 employment, homeownership, and qualifications by ethnic group.
Employment rate
White British 56.7%
Mixed 65.4%
White Other 73.2%
Other 60.2%
Homeownership rate
White British 61.5%
Mixed 31.6%
White Other 34.2%
Other 59.3%
Degree+ qualification rate
White British 23.2%
Mixed 26.3%
White Other 29.5%
Other 34%
Source
Census 2021 RM018 (economic activity), RM134 (tenure), RM049 (qualifications) by ethnic group. Observed, not projected.
School ethnicity
DfE School Census 2024/25: 53,868 pupils. 50.7% White British. Schools are 16.7pp more diverse than the general population.
Pupil ethnicity
White British 50.7%
Asian 26.3%
Black 9.1%
Mixed 7.9%
White Other 4.3%
Other 1.7%
What this means
Schools are 17pp more diverse than the general population — schools show the future.
49.3% Minority pupils now
66.2% Projected 2041
Source
DfE School Census 2024/25. State-funded schools. Upper-tier LA level.
Service demand impact
Projected impact of demographic change on local services.
non-English speakers
Interpreter demand is manageable at current levels.
foreign-born growth to 2051
High foreign-born population growth will drive additional housing demand, particularly in the private rented sector.
EAL growth
Significant additional EAL (English as Additional Language) support likely needed.
National benchmarks
Supported asylum count
691 National distribution.
Supported asylum rate
23.37 Per 10,000 residents.
Contingency accommodation
0 Hotel and contingency placements.
Regional peers
Top 6 in West Midlands by supported asylum.