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South East

Waverley

Updated 30 Jun 2026 · Home Office
6 people on asylum support in Waverley

Rank 320 of 361 councils nationally. The rate of 0.44 per 10,000 puts Waverley in the 12th percentile. That means fewer than most areas. 3 of them receive subsistence only and are not in Home Office accommodation. Accommodation and support for 6 people at £107 per person per day is about £0.2M a year.

What asylum costs Waverley

£135Kestimated hotel costs/year
£15Ksubsistence payments/year
£7KLA dispersal grant/year

Estimates based on 6 people on asylum support in Waverley(0.01% of 93,293 nationally at 30 Jun 2026). Hotel costs pro-rated from £5.77M/day national spend in 2024/25 (House of Commons Library, CDP-2025-0184). Subsistence: £49.18/week per person.

Waverley: asylum numbers holding steady

Quarter-end stock series to Dec 2025. A rise or fall is a net change in the number of people on support at period end, not the number of new claims or distinct people moving through the caseload. Support stock also overlaps with, but is not identical to, the awaiting-decision backlog.

6
9630Sept 2014Dec 2025Peak Dec 2016Rwanda schemeAlbania dealBibby StockholmRwanda scrapped
Exact values
PeriodValue
Sept 20141
Dec 20143
Mar 20152
Jun 20152
Sept 20152
Dec 20152
Mar 20163
Jun 20164
Sept 20165
Dec 20169
Mar 20179
Jun 20179
Sept 20179
Dec 20176
Mar 20186
Jun 20185
Sept 20185
Dec 20186
Mar 20196
Jun 20194
Sept 20195
Dec 20194
Sept 20211
Dec 20213
Mar 20221
Jun 20223
Sept 20223
Dec 20223
Mar 20233
Jun 20234
Sept 20235
Dec 20232
Mar 20245
Jun 20242
Sept 20243
Dec 20242
Mar 20254
Jun 20256
Sept 20256
Dec 20256

Trend

+0Latest quarter change
+5Change across series
40Official data points

Local numbers

Accommodation split

Dispersal accommodation3
Initial accommodation0
Subsistence only3
Contingency accommodation0

Pathway breakdown

Supported asylum
6
Homes for Ukraine
720
Afghan programme
61
Resettlement cumulative
21

Other routes

Homes for Ukraine720
Afghan programme61
Resettlement cumulative21

Population context

All pathways total787
Share of local population0.57%

Ethnic composition projection

Waverley: White British 86.8% (2021) to 75.8% (2051). 80% CI: 74.9, 78.5%.

Ethnic composition: Waverley

024487296% of populationCensus 2021IllustrativeWhite British 70% in 2061White Other 10% in 2061Asian 6% in 2061Mixed 11% in 206120112021203120412051
White BritishWhite OtherAsianMixed 80% CI

Each line shows one ethnic group's share of the local population. The shaded band is the 80% confidence range. Values after 2051 are illustrative only.

Ethnic composition: Waverley

Census 2011, Census 2021, then Hamilton-Perry projections to 2051. Percentages.

2011
91%
2021
87%
2031proj
84%
2041proj
80%
9%
2051proj
76%
9%
2061proj
70%
10%
11%
White BritishWhite OtherAsianBlackMixedOther
Model: Hamilton-Perry single-year CCRs, 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations, SNPP-constrained

Census 2011 to 2021 cohort change ratios. Shaded band = 80% confidence interval from stochastic perturbation. Not a forecast.

Scenario explorer

Under different assumptions, White British share in Waverley ranges from52.1% to 71.7%by 2051. That is a 19.6pp spread.

Fertility
Low~108k/yr
Principal~315k/yr
High~476k/yr
ConstantRates stay at current levels
Half convergenceMove halfway to national avg
Full convergenceConverge to national avg
Migration
Central scenario: WBI 59.2% by 2051

Religion projection

Muslim 1.3% (2021) → 3.8% (2051). Christian 55.5% → 14.7%.

Religion: Waverley

021426485%Census 2021Christian 15% in 2051No religion 80% in 2051Muslim 4% in 20512021203120412051
ChristianNo religionMuslim

Religious affiliation projected from Census 2021 self-identification. Trends reflect demographic change in the existing population, not religious conversion.

Nativity

12.7% foreign-born (2021). Diversity: moderately diverse (entropy 0.31). 96.3% main language English.

UK-born vs foreign-born: Waverley

829507192%Census 2021UK-born 46% in 2051Foreign-born 54% in 20512021203120412051
UK-bornForeign-born

Share of the local population born outside the UK. Movement reflects both new arrivals and the UK-born children of existing residents reaching adulthood.

emerging diversity: Limited ethnic diversity. Projections primarily driven by national trends.

Census 2021 mobility: 10.3% moved within UK, 0.9% arrived from abroad
black18.1% internal, 2.4% international
white other14.8% internal, 3.6% international
asian13.2% internal, 4.3% international
mixed15.3% internal, 1.7% international
other11.3% internal, 3.3% international
white british9.6% internal, 0.5% international

Why Waverley is changing

-3.8pp
National trend
-6.4pp
Age structure
-0.8pp
Local migration
+3.4pp

White British change 2011-2021. Cyan = decline. Amber = growth.

Dominant driver: national trend. Shift-share methodology following Franklin (2014).

Full demographic profileSchool pressure, housing demand, service demand scoring, economic profile, language projections, and more on UK Demographics.View Waverley on UK Demographics →